Identification of proponents of Ahvaz metropolis development with a strategic foresight approach

Authors

• Msoud Safaiepour ¹
• Yahia Jafari ²

¹ Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz . Ahvaz, Iran

² PhD Student of Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz.Ahvaz.Iran

10.30495/jzpm.2022.5363

Abstract

Several challenges to urban management have made it necessary to make the preparation for possible events an undeniable necessity; among other things, the development challenges of the Ahvaz city due to oil extraction, microstates and the lack of a planning approach based on predicting future challenges are tall It has been. This research is aimed at identifying key factors of urban development management in Ahvaz city. Therefore, this research in terms of purpose is a type of applied research that is based on a futuristic approach. The statistical population of this research is 46 academic staff familiar with Ahvaz urban issues. With the participation of experts, 33 variables were identified. Based on the results, the propellant of oil and gas with the effect of 74, the economics of knowledgeable actors 64, the political participation of citizens with a 73 effect and elite axis with the effect of 64 is of great importance in the development of Ahvaz. In addition, from the total number of influencers influencing Ahwaz urban development, 13 proponents were selected as the key driver of the development of Ahwaz city. The most important of these were entrepreneurship and innovation, development of civil institutions, regional equilibrium policies, development based on Public transportation, efficient urban management, sustainable incomes and the provision of electronic city infrastructure.. The placement of factors on the matrix screen showed that the Ahvaz urban development system is a system of instability, which is mainly due to the inefficiency of urban management methods and indicates the vulnerability of Ahvaz city development. Finally, with regard to the findings, key suggestions have been made towards the use of an elitist approach and citizen-centered management.

Keywords

• Urban development
• Key Propulsion of development
• Foreshortening
• Metropolis of Ahvaz

20.1001.1.22516735.1401.12.46.15.5

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