تحلیل فضایی گردشگری با استفاده از مدل‌های ترکیبی در محیط GIS مطالعه موردی: شهرستان رامسر

نویسندگان

• سید یاسر حکیم دوست ¹
• علی محمد پورزیدی ²
• علیرضا عباسی سمنانی ³

¹ دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی روستایی، مدرس دانشگاه پیام نور مرکز تنکابن، ایران

² دانشجوی دکتری آب و هواشناسی، مدرس دانشگاه پیام نور مرکز تنکابن، ایران

³ استادیار گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه فارابی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

      نمایش گرافیکی پدیده­های انسانی جهت تحلیل­های مکانی- فضایی به عنوان مدلی جهت واکاوی مناطق، می­تواند توزیع فضایی پدیده­های جغرافیایی را به تصویر بکشد. در این خصوص علم زمین آمار و مدل­های تخمین آن می­تواند کمک شایانی جهت نمایش گرافیکی این توزیع انجام دهد. پژوهش حاضر از نوع کاربردی و رویکرد حاکم بر تحقیق تحلیلی و تطبیقی است. جهت پهنه­بندی منطقه از لحاظ تخمین ورود گردشگر، از بیست روستای دارای آمار ورود گردشگر از فروردین سال 1389 تا فروردین سال1390 به عنوان نقاط معلوم استفاده گردید. همچنین از تکنیک تابع پایه شعاعی (RBF) به همراه پنج مدل آن جهت پهنه­بندی استفاده گردید. جهت ارزیابی متقابل مدل­های مذکور از نیم تغییر نما استفاده گردید. نتایج ارزیابی نشان می­دهد مدل اسپیلاین کاملاً منظم با ضریب تعیین 77/0 و RMS= 19 بهترین مدل جهت پهنه­بندی انتخاب گردید. همچنین نتایج تحقیق نشان می­دهد 73 روستای شهرستان رامسر می­توانند سالانه بین 1000 تا 1500 نفر ، 46 روستا بین 1500 تا 2000 نفر و 42 روستا بین 500 تا 1000 نفر گردشگر جذب نمایند که اکثر این روستاها در شمال شهرستان واقع شده­اند. همچنین بیشترین تخمین جذب گردشگر در 2 روستای شهرستان (جواهرده و جنت رودبار) با تعداد 4000 تا 5000 نفر  گردشگر برآورد می­گردد. نتایج ارزیابی نشان می­دهد غرب شهرستان رامسر دارای پتانسیل بالاتری جهت جذب گردشگر می­باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

• تحلیل فضایی
• گردشگری روستایی
• مدل RBF
• رامسر

20.1001.1.22516735.1395.6.22.6.6

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عنوان مقاله [English]

Tourist spatial analysis in GIS environment by using the hybrid model Case Study city of Ramsar

نویسندگان [English]

• Seyed Yaser Hakimdust ¹
• Ali mohammad pour zeidi ²
• Alireza Abbasi semnani ³

¹ Ph.d Student of Geography and Rural Planning, Payam Noor University

چکیده [English]

    Graphical display of human phenomena, as a model a model to explore areas for spatial analysis, can portray the spatial distribution of geographical phenomena. In this regard, geostatistics and modeling can help estimate the distribution of graphic representation.The research is analytical and comparative approach. Twenty villages were used with tourist arrival statistics from April 1389 to April 1390 for estimating arrival zoning area in terms of tourism. Also, the technique of radial basis function (RBF) with five models was used for zoning.Mutual assessment models was used to assess the interaction of the semivariogram.Theresults indicated that Spline model with the coefficient of determination 0/77 and RMS = 19 is chosen as the best model for zoning. The results show 73 villages of Ramsar per year between 1000 and 1500, 46 villages between 1500 and 2000 and 42 villages between 500 and 1, 000 can absorb tourists located in the north of the city. The highest estimate tourist attraction is allocated to 2 the villages (Javaherdeh and Janet roudbar) with 4,000 to 5,000 tourists, respectively. The results indicated that the west city of Ramsar has a high potential for attracting tourists.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

• Spatial analysis
• Rural tourism model
• RBF
• Ramsar

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