نوع مقاله : مقاله های برگرفته از پایان نامه
نویسندگان
1 استادیارگروه معماری و شهرسازی، واحد تهران شمال، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 استادیار و عضو هیئت علمی، گروه معماری، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد تهران شمال، تهران، ایران
3 دانشجوی دکتری شهرسازی، گروه معماری و شهرسازی، واحد تهران شمال، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The suburbs of Tehran metropolis have also undergone various developments in recent years, and especially the southern part of this metropolis needs attention and planning. For this purpose, in this research, the identification of urban development scenarios in the suburban areas of Tehran metropolis has been done using the future research method. The research method is descriptive-analytical and applied. The statistical population of the research was experts, experts and knowledgeable people in the area of Islamshahr city. Number of samples, 30 expert experts were selected for qualitative review and cognitive interview using snowball. The analysis method was using quantitative and qualitative analysis as well as analysis of key scenarios and development drivers in Mic Mac software environment. The results of the investigation of the development of the suburbs of Tehran with urban foresight indicate that this metropolis is facing many challenges in the field of indiscriminate expansion of marginalization, increasing pressure on urban infrastructure and reducing the quality of life. If this trend continues in the near future, social and economic inequalities may intensify in Islamshahr city, and the urban environment will suffer irreparable damage, and congestion and traffic will have a negative effect on the efficiency of transportation networks. But the use of sustainable and forward-looking policies in the field of urban development and management of peri-urban developments can help reduce these problems and improve the interaction between central and peripheral areas.
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